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Phantom has always been anxious to address what the traders
questioned in trading. It was with great hesitation that the subjects of order
placement and fill prices were finally addressed. He felt more research on his
part was necessary. There are so many different situations for traders when
they put in orders for their trading.
Some of the questions appeared over the months on the Trader's forum. Many
traders would get what they felt were bad fills for one reason or another.
Phantom knew it was mostly misunderstanding of how a market works in volatile
situations. This lack of understanding due to little known knowledge on the
subject disturbed him in these situations.
It seems there is a vast opinion by most traders that the brokers are to
blame on most of their bad fills. This misunderstanding is a great handicap to
traders unless they are aware of what causes bad fills in volatile markets. We
shall present some of those situations with the explanation in order to improve
order placement by traders.
Little research is done individually by most traders and Phantom felt this
is a big mistake. Phantom has always done his own trace of order placement,
execution and reporting of orders to and from brokers in order to know the
integrity of his placement. It gives him the ability to know what the edge can
or can not be upon an order placement.
Logging and tracing placed orders early in a trader's career affords the
opportunity of knowing just how exact an order must be placed. An order
placement for market orders, price orders, and stop orders will have different
urgency and slippage at various times due to current volatility at execution.
Understanding changes in volatility is critical in knowing when and how to
place each type of order.
I asked Phantom to give some insight on order placement before we got into
particular experiences and results of traders. His insight is based on
experience and knowledge of his many orders in his career. Phantom is the only
trader I know to have been stopped out limit up and limit down in the same day.
It was early in his career and he takes full blame for not knowing early in his
career the situations, which can cause such slippage and fills.
Some of the important points on order placement and price fills are seldom
talked about or considered. Phantom felt many misconceptions were important to
address as well.
ART SIMPSON (ALS): Can you tell us some of the most important insight you
have observed in your trading career on order placement and market prices.
PHANTOM OF THE PITS (POP): Let's just start with a normal day and look at an
opening, daily range and closing. Regardless of what your order is to be, you
will find that there are times during a day that liquidity will be better than
at other times. That is really the reason for different ranges each day.
I remember in the early 70's watching a trader bid the high of the day
consistently at each new high. I asked that trader why he would buy the high of
the day. His answer was that there would be many highs during a day but at the
end of a day only one true high of the day.
If you think about that answer you'll realize that it is true. Each time you
buy a high, it is possible that there will sooner or later be another new high
for the day. To use his method of buying new highs you would have to be a floor
trader in order to use my rules but it has merits.
A reason I say it has merit is because the thin part of markets is at highs
and lows. You'll see this if you look back on volume at the end of the day.
When the markets are thin, they can be pushed further until liquidity once
again enters the markets. Even though markets are thin at the high and low of a
day, during the day there will be many new highs or lows which are not the high
or low showing at the end of the day. We can never know for sure which high or
low during the day is the true high or low for that day.
I got a kick out of some posts on a forum as one was headlined something to
the effect that the locals were gunning for the stops. There are some
misconceptions in that thought. Locals don't gun for stops it is just how they
trade. If you knew the market was thin at highs and lows and were positioned
the wrong way, What would you do if you were a floor trader? It is the traders
who are wrong which push the stops before the stops are hit. In other words you
don't want to have to buy many ticks higher if you are wrong and approaching
the high of the day. That is what the public tends to do by putting their stops
above the high for the day.
I certainly don't think the forum participants were wrong in their thinking
but only having fun with the way the markets tend to act on their positions at
times. They have really hit the nail on the head and it just takes some
understanding as to why it seems to be that the locals are gunning for the
stops. Locals are good at taking the smallest loss possible and going with the
flow. It is an advantage over the public traders.
To understand why markets act as a system which tends to prove the most
people wrong in any one day is a good start in correcting bad entries when
trading. Traders are correct in thinking that the stops will get them out and
then the market will just turn around and go the way they had thought previous
to being stopped out. The fact that it happens is reason enough to devise your
trading plan accordingly. This idea is especially useful upon planning entries.
I never really liked stops but trading off floor creates a problem for the
public because they certainly need protection from being hurt from extreme
moves. Stops do not protect well in choppy markets. Trading plans can be
improved by knowing how stops work and what far too often happens.
If I get my signals of what I want to do, often I can see a new high for the
day in the last hour of the day. If I have my signals telling me to sell, it
often times will say to sell the new high in the last hour with the requirement
of proving that position correct being that the market must spend little time
at or above that new high. This is not saying to take a loss on a stop but
saying that the new high is a move created by day traders, locals getting out
or bad buying creating the stop run toward the end of the trade day. For the
position to be proven correct, the market must prove that the reason for the
new high is just as I previously described.
Markets slip through stops on the bottom toward the end of the trading day
also because of the day traders, locals and bad selling that push the stops
which build up below the markets. This is natural in trading and is not
recognized often enough by traders, especially new traders.
Another big disadvantage of stops as I see them is the feeling by traders
that they are protected from adverse moves. When the market is liquid stops
work fairly well. To often when an important report comes out like the monthly
unemployment report, markets such as bonds and currencies will do the long
jump. There is no liquidity for sometimes as much as several support or
resistance points. This means huge losses in a matter of minutes until the stop
order can be executed.
Keep in mind a stop order is a market order whenever the price is hit. Most
traders blame the broker for not getting the stop order filled at the stop
price. How can they if the market has no bid at your sell stop price? How is
the broker to fill your order on a stop when every order he has is the same
stop order price and there are no traders or orders willing to take the other
side? Everyone sees the same chart. Stops are grouped in the same place.
After a big report, the stops are free game for anyone who wants to squeeze
as much profit as they can. If I am correct, I know that it will often take
three waves of effort before I have to worry about the market reversing and
taking my profit back. Why shouldn't I bid the lowest price possible after a
report my way? If the market didn't fall substantial on a big report I would be
adding to my position until I see the bad selling. The bad selling is the stop
selling after a report. Same on bad buying as the bad buying will be the stops
buying at the market.
By understanding the drawbacks of stops you can come up with a better suited
trading plan to protect yourself. Rule one does just that. Your criteria must
include getting out if you don't want a flip of the coin at times. Big reports
are those times.
Another aspect of getting your order filled way out here is when you go at
the market on the open. Order fills look bad to some traders just by the way
some of the quotes get reported. Some quote machines show the open price the
price, which was the night trading open price. The next day the open may not be
anywhere close to the night trading open.
Many trade systems signal a position to take after the previous days close
is used as data in the program and position on the open. This alone can skew
the opening price by good margins of price difference. If you are buying and
you are on one side of the pit, you may get a good fill but a large order may
bid above your order in another part of the pit. The broker's job is to buy the
offer when it is a market order on the open. They don't have time to look for
the cheapest price when there are numbers to do. They take what is offered.
If you wanted to buy a computer and you did, you bought at the offer price.
Why didn't you wait six months until the price was half as much? It is because
you wanted it now! It is the same in trading. Your market order on the open is
saying that you want it bought now. Not after it went down or went limit up or
tomorrow after a sell off.
Just because the opening call was four cents lower and you put a market
order in on the opening are you going to get the low of the day. You might get
the high of the day but most likely never the low. You may even be filled five
to ten cents higher on the day if news changes quickly enough. Or in Orange
Juice, you might have no sellers at all on the open for several minutes.
Orders are entered poorly more due to lack of understanding of how the
market works at certain times in getting orders filled. It is seldom because of
a mistake on the order placement by the broker or executing broker that you got
filled way over there.
Another misconception of being filled in left field on an order is that the
thought is that the broker is trading for himself. I watch this myself and can
attest that what I see has never been beyond providing liquidity by a broker in
poorly liquid times. Brokers are position traders. They can not attend to being
day traders or scalpers. It is their primary job to fill your order first. The
brokers I have seen do just that! They fill your order first.
One more aspect of being filled at what looks like a huge slippage is the
delay in quote prices and the delay in getting your brokerage runner to get the
order into the pit in timely manner. They are allowed a certain amount of time
in getting your orders into the pit as it takes time to go to the desk, take
the order to the pit and hand it to the broker who is filling other orders
already. Repeat the process again as the runner looks for your order in order
to report your fill price back to you.
Sometimes you don't know that you were filled because the runner can't find
the filled order before he has to run another order to the pit. Let me give
some insight on this situation. If you must know if your were filled, CANCEL
the order! This way the runner must require the broker to pull the order from
the deck. If it was indeed filled it won't be there and the runner will have to
look for it. Sometimes new runners don't know to look over in that pile for the
filled order. Every runner starts a new career and is not good at it until
experience becomes the teacher.
There are times when runners are seeing so much volume that the floor
managers will tell them to do the most important aspect of their customer
business. That is getting the orders into the pits and worrying about the fills
later.
Often confidence in the way orders are routed and filled by customers and a
new trader is never above a one on a ten scale. You owe it to yourself to see
the flow of orders and understand the strict method, which must and is followed
by the commission houses and the brokers. Believe me integrity is as good as it
has ever been.
I remember when beans had gone above 4.44 for the first time in history and
I fed orders to the floor to sell out my longs as they hit 4.44. My fill was at
4.32. I did my research and checked all time and sales and price quotes that
day. I know when I get a bad fill why today and everyday. It has never been
because of the broker not being alert. It has always been because I was not in
the pit and did not know what was going on for anywhere from two to ten minutes
before my order was filled.
Art, I know we want feedback on this so we can address the input from the
Futures Talk forum. I never really had my heart into this chapter as it seems
so cut and dry for me but I know it is important to the traders. They must
understand their fate when blame is quicker than answers in difficult market
times.
ALS: Ok traders, Phantoms, paper traders, brokers, newcomers and us old
folks alike, let us have it! Your questions and observations please!
Note: We had some good feedback from R.H. and it seems fitting to put it in
this writing. Below are R.H's comments.
Phantom... thanks for another insightful chapter. Unless you've been there
or had much experience, you tend to follow the notion that the little guy
always gets the short end of the stick. This chapter explains the process of
the markets for better understanding.
No specific comments other than paraphrasing my understanding of your words.
On tracing orders, is there other info or stats that one can request other
than time and sales and price?
On "gunning for stops" it's my paradigm and others that running
the stops creates a quick bounce and once hit and expanded, the locals offset
and is done as a tactic in itself. Your explanation seemed to be that it was
not necessarily a concentrated effort to run the stops but rather floor traders
positioned wrong and as they offset near the thin areas, the market pushes thru
the stops.
On markets proving most people wrong and hitting their stop and heading in
the way they had thought. Rule 1 was made for this action. If you position and
the market goes against you, rule 1 offsets the position allowing for re-entry
(in the last hour, in this instance) rather than positioning once with a stop
just beyond the daily extreme. So rule 1 allows us to use these areas to
re-enter again or enter (i.e.. day & 1/2) rather than lose the position and
see it go our way shortly afterward.
On stops and a big report. Any other ways to see the bad buying or selling
other than the looking at the same chart everyone else looks at?
Thanks again for providing us clarity of the true workings of a market . . .
RH
ALS: Phantom a couple of questions from Randy we should answer. His question
on tracing orders, is there other info or stats that one can request other than
time and sales and price?
POP: The best way to trace an order is to know the phone clerk by name who
takes your order and to identify the runner who takes your order into the pit.
For me this is pretty easy to know because I am pretty well known for
requesting all the information I need to keep the integrity of my orders going
into the pit.
I like to have the information because I like to prove to myself that the
myths of what happened to an order are just that - myths. Most of the time
other traders who put orders into the pit are not aware of what has happened
because of fast markets or newly reported information. They only know that they
got a bad fill.
Well bad fills all have a good reason. Every time I check to see the reason
for my bad fill, I have verified the circumstance that it has indeed been at my
own hand that I got a bad fill. I didn't know at the time when I placed my
order that I didn't have the timely news or what the liquidity was at the time.
How can we always know the situation at all times? We can't!
You see it is easy to use a crutch in blaming some reason other than a fact,
which we don't know at the time. It is wasted energy to think or fill was other
than with the highest integrity. Even though I could fill all of my own orders,
I know I can do a better job giving the order to the professional broker. Now
most traders don't know that.
On tracing orders most of the time, you can get time and sales but the true
event is that your order if a market order can be filled anywhere within a time
limit of say two minutes. Now have you ever seen a market move in two minutes?
Of coarse you have!
A market can move quite a lot in two minutes. How do you win the game? If
you put enough orders in you will find that it tends to even out. If you put
few orders in you will find that you tend to get the short end of the stick as
Randy suggested. The short end of the stick is that you will put your orders in
just as the market is changing direction and starting to go against you.
You know what the market is going to do and it has already done it by the
time your order reaches the floor and you got the slippage from the market
reaction. The quotes you receive are not the same as the bid and offer in the
pit when you put the order in. There is always a lag. I can stand in the pit
and watch the tape and be behind as much as minutes at times. I bid and offer
according to what is going on around me in the pit. The public can not do that.
At times you are better off with resting orders but execution is always the
most important part of order placement if you don't trade large amounts.
Ok, time and sales is it and the rest of your research is on your shoulders
to check your broker, runner an phone clerk. A good commission house will do
this for you but not always when the market is open. Do it when the market is
closed and keep your own records. I consider it as if I am hiring the people
who work my orders both into the pit and in the pit.
ALS: What do you think of Randy's ideas on his interpretation of running the
stops ideas?
POP: I don't mean to remark lightly but Randy has a good handle on the
correct interpretation of what I meant. I can't really add anything to his
correct ideas.
ALS: Another question for you on stops and a big report. Any other ways to
see the bad buying or selling other than the looking at the same chart everyone
else looks at?
POP: I see the reason for Randy's question on the bad buying and selling. In
the pits it is pretty easy to see what is going on. Off the floor it is a sense
that we have to be alerted to in our thinking. We must know the possibilities
of why things happen the way they do in markets. People will trade like herds
at times and when the herds are finished in their positioning the market takes
a breath and the move start to fade.
It is the lack of follow through that tells us when we have seen bad order
placement. When we are away from the floor we must be aware of lack of follow
through. It happens at the highs and lows because of momentum trading which
causes the moves to be quick and sometimes cause artificial moves.
My suggestion is to be alerted as to how quick a move happens and then to
watch for the follow through in a proper amount of time. Each market is going
to take a little different reaction to such conditions.
Randy has my idea on rule one and the way I trade correct. It is the
criteria of follow through with the combined knowledge of what day traders have
done up to the last hour which I use to help generate a trade during the last
hour or two. It is more powerful for me to get the bounce in positioning.
In fact I have a chapter or two or even a book on the systems I use in
trading. Of coarse I would not give all of the inputs but enough to help most
traders establish a game plan that would match mine.
ALS: Do you want to address any other situations on order fills?
POP: No, I don't as I think it is research that each trader must make on
their own and I can not give them the results of their ideas of bad fills. They
must slay that situation themselves in order to have the confidence of putting
it behind them.
ALS: You've been generous in helping me write Phantom's Gift. I know the
traders do appreciate it and wonder what are the plans from here?
POP: You know I have been rewarded and as I watch posts of forums I see the
affect this project has had.
Art, I think it is time to see how Robbie does in his trading. We must step
back and be the observers again.
ALS: Does this mean this project is completed?
POP: Art, you know that the project is not completed. I see the CD on your
desk and I see Phantom's Gift in red on the cover. I also know we have the best
for last. Now who wouldn't suspect that? We want our traders to make it big. So
far they have had lots of insight to interpret on their own. You know the
respect and expectation I have in the small trader. It shall happen that they
are the winners. For how long I don't know but they will be the unexpected
winners.
The next step is to point out where the pot of gold is. I recommend a good
book on technical trading to add to your library. It is called "The
Handbook of Technical Analysis" and written by Darrell Jobman. Unless you
have seen Darrell Jobman's new internet video I would suggest you take a look
at it too.
ALS: I see you can get the tape with Darrell's book free. I haven't seen it
what do you think of it?
POP: First class just like Darrell!
ALS: Do we go ahead with Phantom's Gift on CD with the rest of the story
chapters? If so what will it cost?
POP: Only if our traders want it! Production and distribution will have a
cost. It's up to our traders as to what they think it is worth to them. That
will be the cost. It has to meet cost of production and distribution. It is all
up to our traders!
ALS: What's is next?
POP: I am a good observer. I know our traders. Some know me already! It
shall get better for the small trader. To keep my mask on makes me pretty
obvious but the small trader has the best advantage this way. Let's keep it
that way. Offers are offers but I want to see my little Phantom's grow up.
ALS: So Be It!
"To keep my mask on makes me pretty obvious but the
small trader has the best advantage this way. Let's keep it that way.
"
---POP
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